AAA Forecasts 5.8 Million Illinoisans and 2.5 Million Hoosiers to Travel for Year-End Holidays

Share

’Tis the season to travel, and AAA estimates 5.8 million Illinoisans will journey 50 miles or more away from home from December 23 to January 2, an increase 213,000 over last year. In Indiana 2.5 million will travel with an increase of 83,000 more travelers.

Illinois Year-End Holiday Traveler Totals
 Total TravelersAuto TravelersAir TravelersOther Modes
2022
(Forecast)
5,802,8795,290,683324,056188,141
20215,589,8435, 155,092284,057150,695
20196,228,0775,665,907331,623230,547
Growth
(2021 to 2022)
+4%+3%+14%+25%
Indiana Year-End Holiday Traveler Totals
 Total TravelersAuto TravelersAir TravelersOther Modes
2022
(Forecast)
2,555,2432,337,809139,19878,136
20212,472,1302,288,159122,08361,888
20196,228,0775,665,907331,623230,547
Growth
(2021 to 2022)
+3%+2%+14%+26%

National travel figures are stronger than 2021, yet slightly lower than pre-pandemic levels. An estimated 112.7 million Americans are forecast to travel during the year-end holidays. That’s an increase of 3.6 million people compared to last year and the third busiest since AAA began tracking in 2000. View all National travel figures in the full holiday travel report.

“Despite inflationary pressures, consumers remain resilient and dedicated to travel this year, and the holidays will be no different,” said Debbie Haas, Vice President of Travel for AAA – The Auto Club Group. “Americans are spending more on travel than any other time in the past two years. The good news is the cost for a holiday road trip will be less expensive than anticipated, now that gas prices are on the way down.”

Automobiles, Planes, Trains and Cruises

Nationwide, 90% of holiday travelers will drive to their destinations. In Illinois, nearly 5.2 million residents will take at least one holiday road trip. That’s 213,000 more than last year and in Indiana, 2.3 million residents will also take at least one holiday road trip which is 83,000 more from last year.

Air travel will see a 14% increase over last year, with nearly 7.2 million Americans expected to fly. Flights and airports will be packed this holiday season, reminiscent of pre-pandemic days. Demand for flights has surged despite higher airline ticket prices. AAA expects the number of people taking holiday flights this year will come close to matching 2019 when 7.3 million Americans traveled by air.

“If the distance is not reasonable to drive, more people are flying to maximize the time spent at their destination,” Haas adds. “Conversely, if the travel distances are reasonable and more than one or two people in the household are taking the trip, it may be more cost-effective to drive rather than buy multiple air tickets and rent a car.”

Other modes of transportation are also rebounding in a big way. AAA estimates travel by bus, rail, and cruise ship will rise to 3.6 million this holiday season, a 23% increase from last year and nearly 94% of 2019’s volume.

Gas Prices are Falling Fast

Holiday road trippers are getting the early gift of plunging prices at the pump. The Illinois state average for a regular gallon of gas on Sunday was $3.48 and has declined 74 cents per gallon since last month. In Indiana, Sunday’s average was $3.26 a decline of 84 cents from a month ago.

 “Since most Americans have already made their holiday travel plans, these plunging pump prices may not necessarily lead to more auto travelers,” said Molly Hart, spokesperson for AAA – The Auto Club Group. “What we often see instead is consumers reallocating the added savings, spending more on hotels, shopping and dining out.”

Hotel and Airfares are Slightly Higher than 2021; Car Rental Rates are Cheaper

  • Airfares cost 6% more than last year
    • The lowest round trip airfare costs $163 vs $154 in 2021
  • Hotels cost 5% more than 2021
    • A mid-range AAA Three Diamond property costs $167 per night vs $160 last year
  • Car Rentals cost 19% less
    • The average daily rate is $105 vs $130 last year
  • View AAA’s Leisure Travel Index for a full breakdown on pricing

Busiest Corridors and Best/Worst Times to Travel

Drivers should prepare for delays, particularly in and around major metro areas. Nationwide, drivers could see travel times increase by 25%, according to INRIX, a provider of transportation analytics and insights. The most congested days on the road are forecast to be Friday before Christmas, December 27 and 28, and on Monday, January 2. INRIX predicts the single busiest travel day will be Tuesday, December 27th. The best advice for avoiding congestion is to leave early in the morning or later in the evening.

Best & Worst Times to Travel by Car

DateWorst travel timeBest travel time
12/23/224:00-7:00 PMBefore 2:00 PM, After 8:00 PM
12/24/2212:00-6:00 PMBefore 11:00 AM, After 7:00 PM
12/25/22 – Minimal Traffic Expected
12/26/222:00-6:00 PMBefore 12:00 PM, After 7:00 PM
12/27/223:00-7:00 PMBefore 2:00 PM, After 8:00 PM
12/28/223:00-7:00 PMBefore 2:00 PM, After 8:00 PM
12/29/223:00-7:00 PMBefore 2:00 PM, After 8:00 PM
12/30/223:00-7:00 PMBefore 2:00 PM, After 8:00 PM
12/31/22 – Minimal Traffic Expected
1/1/23 – Minimal Traffic Expected
1/2/234:00-7:00 PMBefore 3:00 PM, After 8:00 PM

Peak Congestion by Metro 

MetroCorridorPeak congestion period
(date/time)
Compared to Typical
AtlantaI-75 North, GA-17 to I-6751/2/2023, 5:15-6:15 PM65%
BostonI-93 South, Albany St to MA-2412/28/2022, 3:00-5:00 PM47%
ChicagoI-290 East, Mannheim Rd to Paulina St12/27/2022, 4:45-6:45 PM75%
DetroitI-94 West, Gratiot Ave to Michigan Ave1/2/2023, 12:00-2:00 PM27%
HoustonI-69 North, I-610 to TX-1012/27/2022, 3:45-5:45 PM36%
Los AngelesI-5 South, Colorado St to Florence Ave12/27/2022, 5:30-7:30 PM95%
New YorkI-278 West, I-495 to 6th Ave12/27/2022, 3:45-5:45 PM112%
San FranciscoI-80 East, Maritime St to San Pablo Dam Rd12/28/2022, 5:00-7:00 PM50%
SeattleI-5 South, WA-18 to WA-712/28/2022, 4:00-6:00 PM62%
Washington DCI-95 South, MD-212 to Central Ave12/27/2022, 9:30-11:30 AM68%

AAA Advice for Road Travelers

  • Leave early so you are not in a rush.
  • Watch the weather. Consider alternate routes or adjust your departure time to avoid driving through bad weather.
  • Never drive distracted. Pre-program your GPS andput the cellphone down while driving.
  • Wear your seat belt and never drive impaired.

AAA Expects to Rescue nearly 899,000 stranded motorists

Nearly 899,000 drivers will need AAA roadside assistance during the 11-day holiday period. The most common reasons are for dead batteries, flat tires and lockouts. AAA encourages drivers to get a full vehicle inspection before hitting the road – checking everything from your tires to brakes, lights, and wiper blades. You can find a list of AAA Approved Auto Repair Facilities at AAA.com/AutoRepair.

Ensure your vehicle has an emergency kit. This should include jumper cables, a first-aid kit, car/portable phone charger(s), drinking water and snacks, ice scraper, snow brush and extra hats, gloves and blankets for everyone in the car. Click here to view a full list of items. 

AAA Reminds Drivers to ‘Move Over for Me’

Being stuck on the roadside will be especially dangerous during the holidays, due to the influx of auto travelers and the potential for impaired drivers. AAA reminds motorists that the law in Illinois is to slow down and move over for first responders, tow trucks and motorist.  Although Indiana’s does not currently require to move over for motorists, AAA also urges drivers to move over for disabled vehicles on the roadside.

“Whether it’s a tow truck or a disabled vehicle, when you see flashing lights please move over,” said Hart. “We want to make sure all holiday travelers, tow truck drivers and first responders make it home safely for the holidays.”

Click here to learn more about The Auto Club Group’s ‘Move Over for Me’ campaign.

AAA Advice for AirTravelers

Strong demand will create long lines at airports, yet winter weather is the wild card. Snow and other winter conditions can not only cause delays and cancellations, but combine that with strong demand during this season, and you can have a hard time getting re-booked in a hurry.

“If you plan on flying this time of year, travel insurance can be extremely valuable for air travelers,” Haas said. “There are policies that can provide compensation for flight delays for as little as three hours. And if your flight is cancelled, passengers can receive compensation for covered out-of-pocket expenses.”

Other Air Travel Tips 

  • Check-in early online.
  • Monitor your flight status using your air carrier’s mobile app
  • Arrive 2-3 hours before scheduled departure.
  • Pack medications and an extra set of clothes in your carry-on bag, just in case your flight is delayed or cancelled.

If you Have Not Booked your Flight:

  • Book a flight that leaves early in the day. Flights in the afternoon and evening are more susceptible to delays and cancellations.
  • Book a direct flight. Otherwise, build in extra time between connections, in case your first flight is delayed.
  • Consider traveling on Christmas Day. This could offer the best combination of availability and price.

Holiday Forecast Methodology: A Brief Overview

Travel Forecast 

In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from S&P Global Market Intelligence’s proprietary databases. These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment, output, household net worth, asset prices, including stock indices, interest rates, housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. AAA and S&P Global Market Intelligence have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000.

Historical travel volume estimates come from DK SHIFFLET’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/Monitor SM. The PERFORMANCE/Monitor SM is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. residents. DK SHIFFLET contacts over 50,000 U.S. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends and forecast U.S. travel behavior—all after the trips have been taken.  

The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. In particular, AAA and S&P Global Market Intelligence forecast the total U.S. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. The travel forecast presented in this report was prepared for the week of November 15, 2022.   

Year-End Holiday Travel Period 

For purposes of this forecast, the year-end holiday travel period is defined as the 11-day period from Friday, December 23 to Monday, January 2. This period is the same length as the 2021/2022 year-end travel period.

The year-end holiday travel period can range from 10 to 13 days, depending on which day of the week Christmas Day and New Year’s Day fall. All the year-end holiday periods contain two weekends.

***Courtesy of AAA – The Auto Club Group***

Spread the word

Trending Now

Featured News Podcasts

Subscribe to our Community Newsletter

By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Prairie Communications, 55 Public Square, Monmouth, IL, 61462, https://977wmoi.com/. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

Choose a Category

Continue Reading

Alexis Community Fund Opens 2023 Grant Cycle

The Alexis Community Fund Advisory Board is accepting applications for its 2023 grant cycle from February 1 through March 10. This grant opportunity funds projects that shape the future and